Arm Holdings plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Strong day for Arm Holdings plc stock price on Tuesday rising 8.98% to $124.94
(Updated on May 28, 2024)
The Arm Holdings plc stock price gained 8.98% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 28th May 2024), rising from $114.64 to $124.94. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 9.24% from a day low at $115.32 to a day high of $125.97. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 11 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 16 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.01 billion.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $57.40 and $98.44 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ARM Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Arm Holdings plc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $114.30 and $109.64. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 43.30%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arm Holdings plc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $117.23 and $107.56. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Arm Holdings plc finds support just below today's level at $117.23. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $107.56 and $103.59.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $10.65 between high and low, or 9.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.99%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $120.42 (-3.62%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 73 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 29th we expect Arm Holdings plc to open at $122.08, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $118.70 and $131.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$6.24 (+/-4.99%) up or down from last closing price. If Arm Holdings plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $127.96 (2.42%) than the support at $117.23 (6.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Arm Holdings plc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 4.644 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Arm Holdings plc of Wednesday, May 29, 2024
| Fair opening price May 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $122.08 ( 2.29%) | $124.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 132.73 | 6.24 % | |
| R2 | 128.66 | 2.98 % | ||
| R1 | 126.15 | 0.97 % | ||
| Current price: | 124.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 118.01 | -5.55 % | |
| S2 | 115.49 | -7.56 % | ||
| S3 | 111.42 | -10.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 138.01 | 10.46 % | |
| R2 | 129.50 | 3.65 % | ||
| R1 | 127.96 | 2.42 % | ||
| Current price | 124.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 117.23 | -6.17% | |
| S2 | 107.56 | -13.91% | ||
| S3 | 103.59 | -17.09% |
FAQ
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