ASML Holding N.V. Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for ASML Holding N.V. stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The ASML Holding N.V. stock price gained 2.87% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from 811.60€ to 834.90€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.20% from a day low at 818.30€ to a day high of 836.30€. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.6% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 2.40€ million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at 811.52€ will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect ASML Holding N.V. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 807.53€ and 942.42€ at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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ASME.F Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The ASML Holding N.V. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 836.53€ and 875.97€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ASML Holding N.V. stock
ASML Holding N.V. finds support from accumulated volume at 833.90€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 18.00€ between high and low, or 2.20%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.05%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 795.75€ (-4.69%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (ASME.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect ASML Holding N.V. to open at 829.83€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 809.40€ and 860.40€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-25.50€ (+/-3.05%) up or down from last closing price. If ASML Holding N.V. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 833.90€ (0.12%) than the resistance at 850.40€ (1.86%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is ASML Holding N.V. stock A Buy?
ASML Holding N.V. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.029 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ASML Holding N.V. of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 829.83€ ( 0.607%) | 834.90€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ASME.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 847.83 | 1.55 % | |
| R2 | 840.96 | 0.726 % | ||
| R1 | 836.71 | 0.217 % | ||
| Current price: | 834.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 822.96 | -1.43 % | |
| S2 | 818.71 | -1.94 % | ||
| S3 | 811.83 | -2.76 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 912.60 | 9.31 % | |
| R2 | 873.10 | 4.58 % | ||
| R1 | 850.40 | 1.86 % | ||
| Current price | 834.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 833.90 | -0.120% | |
| S2 | 820.80 | -1.69% | ||
| S3 | 811.60 | -2.79% |
ASME Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 26, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | 1.75€ | 0% |
| 2 | Feb 05, 2024 | Feb 05, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | 1.45€ | 0% |
| 3 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 01, 2023 | 0€ | 0% |
| 4 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 01, 2023 | 1.45€ | 0% |
| 5 | Apr 28, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | 1.69€ | 0% |
FAQ
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