Athabasca Stock Forecast
Athabasca stock price down 0.83% on Friday
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Athabasca stock price fell by -0.83% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $4.80 to $4.76. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.90% from a day low at $4.73 to a day high of $4.82. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -5.18% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.21 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $4.68 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.21% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.30 and $6.50 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ATH.TO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Athabasca stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.87 and $5.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -14.39%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Athabasca stock
Athabasca finds support from accumulated volume at $4.66 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0900 between high and low, or 1.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.02%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ATH.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Athabasca Oil Corporation to open at $4.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.60 and $4.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.161 (+/-3.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Athabasca Oil Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.77% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $4.66 (2.10%) than the resistance at $5.04 (5.88%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Athabasca will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 08, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.0800. We will update the financials statements for Athabasca, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.51% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Athabasca Oil Corporation stock A Buy?
The Athabasca stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Athabasca will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.033 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Athabasca Oil Corporation of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $4.77 ( 0.210%) | $4.76 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ATH.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.86 | 2.10 % | |
| R2 | 4.83 | 1.38 % | ||
| R1 | 4.80 | 0.93 % | ||
| Current price: | 4.76 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.74 | -0.512 % | |
| S2 | 4.71 | -0.96 % | ||
| S3 | 4.68 | -1.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.23 | 9.87 % | |
| R2 | 5.19 | 9.03 % | ||
| R1 | 5.04 | 5.88 % | ||
| Current price | 4.76 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.66 | -2.10% | |
| S2 | 4.51 | -5.25% | ||
| S3 | 4.34 | -8.82% |
FAQ
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