Avation Plc Stock Forecast
Avation Plc stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 09, 2024)
No changes to the price of Avation Plc stock on the last trading day (Thursday, 9th May 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at £121.00 to a day high of £121.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 10% over the past 2 weeks.
The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend up. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately. £120.97 is considered to be a "second chance" to hit a potential runner. It is, however, important that volume does follow the price as false breaks may appear and it may move back into the horizontal trend. Based on the rectangle-formation theory the stock is predicted to reach £136.39 sometime during the next 3 months.
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AVAP.L Signals & Forecast
The Avation Plc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £116.86 and £113.19. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Avation Plc stock
Avation Plc finds support from accumulated volume at £118.50 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved £0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.82%
The Avation Plc stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (89). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: £117.10 (-3.22%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 89 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (AVAP.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect Avation Plc to open at £121.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £118.30 and £123.70, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£2.70 (+/-2.23%) up or down from last closing price. If Avation Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ £118.50, some £2.50 (2.07%) from the current price of £121.00, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Avation Plc stock A Buy?
Avation Plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.705 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Avation Plc of Friday, May 10, 2024
Fair opening price May 10, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
£121.00 ( 0%) | £121.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AVAP.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 121.00 | . | |
R2 | 121.00 | . | ||
R1 | 121.00 | . | ||
Current price: | 121.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 121.00 | . | |
S2 | 121.00 | . | ||
S3 | 121.00 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 121.00 | |||
Support | S1 | 118.50 | -2.07% | |
S2 | 113.00 | -6.61% | ||
S3 | 110.00 | -9.09% |
AVAP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nov 21, 2019 | Dec 19, 2019 | Jan 09, 2020 | £2.10 | 0.706% |
2 | Sep 05, 2019 | Oct 03, 2019 | Oct 18, 2019 | £8.50 | 3.06% |
3 | Nov 15, 2018 | Dec 13, 2018 | Dec 21, 2018 | £2.00 | 0.777% |
4 | Sep 06, 2018 | Oct 04, 2018 | Oct 18, 2018 | £5.50 | 2.09% |
5 | Jun 30, 2017 | Jul 20, 2017 | Aug 10, 2017 | £4.60 | 1.84% |
FAQ
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