Avacta Group plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Avacta Group plc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Avacta Group plc stock price fell by -0.535% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from £46.75 to £46.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.44% from a day low at £45.00 to a day high of £47.00. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.13% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 232 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £126.82 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at £49.82 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -53.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £14.29 and £23.18 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AVCT.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.49%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Avacta Group plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £46.63 and £49.97. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Avacta Group plc stock
Avacta Group plc finds support from accumulated volume at £45.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved £2.00 between high and low, or 4.44%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.76%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £44.58 (-4.13%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AVCT.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Avacta Group plc to open at £46.17, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £43.41 and £49.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£3.09 (+/-6.64%) up or down from last closing price. If Avacta Group plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £45.75 (1.61%) than the resistance at £50.75 (9.14%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Avacta Group plc stock A Buy?
Avacta Group plc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.816 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Avacta Group plc of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £46.17 ( 0.717%) | £46.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AVCT.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 48.17 | 3.58 % | |
| R2 | 47.40 | 1.94 % | ||
| R1 | 46.93 | 0.93 % | ||
| Current price: | 46.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 45.40 | -2.36 % | |
| S2 | 44.93 | -3.37 % | ||
| S3 | 44.17 | -5.02 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 54.50 | 17.20 % | |
| R2 | 53.50 | 15.05 % | ||
| R1 | 50.75 | 9.14 % | ||
| Current price | 46.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 45.75 | -1.61% | |
| S2 | 44.60 | -4.09% | ||
| S3 | 44.50 | -4.30% |
FAQ
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