American Water Works Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
American Water Works stock upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The American Water Works stock price gained 0.663% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $125.12 to $125.95. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.01% from a day low at $122.40 to a day high of $126.08. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.33% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -265 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $179.06 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect American Water Works stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $112.59 and $124.83 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AWK Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The American Water Works stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $122.77 and $119.30. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.66%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Water Works stock
American Water Works finds support from accumulated volume at $121.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $3.68 (3.01%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.95%.
The American Water Works stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $121.90 (-3.21%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AWK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect American Water Works to open at $124.81, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $123.48 and $128.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.47 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If American Water Works takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.93% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $121.73, some $4.22 (3.35%) from the current price of $125.95, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is American Water Works stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for American Water Works stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.009 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Water Works of Friday, May 3, 2024
Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$124.81 ( 0.91%) | $125.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AWK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 128.49 | 2.02 % | |
R2 | 127.08 | 0.90 % | ||
R1 | 126.22 | 0.211 % | ||
Current price: | 125.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 123.40 | -2.02 % | |
S2 | 122.54 | -2.71 % | ||
S3 | 121.13 | -3.83 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 125.95 | |||
Support | S1 | 121.73 | -3.35% | |
S2 | 119.68 | -4.98% | ||
S3 | 117.14 | -6.99% |
AWK Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 06, 2023 | Feb 07, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.708 | 0.591% |
2 | Oct 31, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.708 | 0.531% |
3 | Oct 31, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.708 | 0.531% |
4 | Jul 26, 2023 | Aug 07, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.708 | 0.513% |
5 | Apr 26, 2023 | May 08, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | $0.708 | 0.493% |
FAQ
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