American States Water Company Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 15, 2025 Gain 0.53%

The American States Water Company stock price fell by -0.255% on the last day (Thursday, 22nd May 2025) from $78.43 to $78.23. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.21% from a day low at $77.47 to a day high of $78.40. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.6% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 20 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 175 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.69 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $77.82 and $85.63 at the end of this 3-month period.

AWR Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The American States Water Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $78.41 and $78.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 19, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American States Water Company stock

American States Water Company finds support from accumulated volume at $75.44 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.94 between high and low, or 1.21%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.62%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $75.13 (-3.96%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AWR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 23rd we expect American States Water Company to open at $78.03, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $76.44 and $80.02, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.79 (+/-2.29%) up or down from last closing price. If American States Water Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $78.52 (0.37%) than the support at $75.44 (3.57%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is American States Water Company stock A Buy?

American States Water Company holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.307 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 23, 2025 - $78.03 ( 0.254%).