GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF Forecast
GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Strong Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF price gained 2.60% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $16.17 to $16.59. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 4.19% from a day low at $15.97 to a day high of $16.64. The price has risen in 9 of the last 10 days and is up by 36.99% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 127 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 332 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.50 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.26 and $15.75 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BABX Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $14.92 and $13.64. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 37.91%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF
GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily finds support from accumulated volume at $16.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $0.670 between high and low, or 4.19%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 5.02%.
The GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.03 (-3.38%) (This ETF has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BABX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF to open at $16.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.93 and $17.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.662 (+/-3.99%) up or down from last closing price. If GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $16.23, some $0.360 (2.17%) from the current price of $16.59, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF ETF A Buy?
GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily holds several positive signals and despite the ETF being in a falling trend, we considered it to be a good choice at these current levels. We expect GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF will perform very well in the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score: 5.780 Strong Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for GraniteShares 1.75x Long BABA Daily ETF of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$16.40 ( 1.14%) | $16.59 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BABX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 17.07 | 2.89 % | |
R2 | 16.81 | 1.35 % | ||
R1 | 16.66 | 0.397 % | ||
Current price: | 16.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.14 | -2.69 % | |
S2 | 15.99 | -3.64 % | ||
S3 | 15.73 | -5.18 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 0 | . | ||
Current price | 16.59 | |||
Support | S1 | 16.23 | -2.17% | |
S2 | 14.34 | -13.56% | ||
S3 | 14.32 | -13.68% |
FAQ
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