Balco Group AB Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Balco Group AB stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The Balco Group AB stock price fell by -2.61% on the last day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024) from kr46.00 to kr44.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.81% from a day low at kr44.55 to a day high of kr45.80. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 1.01% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 20 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 22 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately kr972.38 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.60% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between kr50.70 and kr55.53 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BALCO.ST Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Balco Group AB gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Balco Group AB stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately kr46.05. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately kr43.98. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Balco Group AB stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at kr41.45 and kr41.30. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Balco Group AB finds support just below today's level at kr41.45. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at kr41.30 and kr40.50.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved kr1.25 between high and low, or 2.81%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.35%.
Our recommended stop-loss: kr42.98 (-4.06%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BALCO.ST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect Balco Group AB to open at kr45.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between kr43.33 and kr46.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-kr1.47 (+/-3.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Balco Group AB takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.58% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at kr45.85 (2.34%) than the support at kr41.45 (7.48%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Balco Group AB stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.160 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Balco Group AB of Monday, June 17, 2024
| Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| kr45.05 ( 0.558%) | kr44.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BALCO.ST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 46.30 | 3.35% |
| R2 | 45.82 | 2.28% |
| R1 | 45.53 | 1.62% |
| Price | 44.80 | |
| S1 | 44.57 | -0.508% |
| S2 | 44.28 | -1.17% |
| S3 | 43.80 | -2.23% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 46.05 | 2.79% |
| R2 | 46.00 | 2.68% |
| R1 | 45.85 | 2.34% |
| Price | 44.80 | |
| S1 | 41.45 | -7.48% |
| S2 | 41.30 | -7.81% |
| S3 | 40.50 | -9.60% |
BALCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 08, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | kr0.750 | 1.93% |
| 2 | May 10, 2023 | May 10, 2023 | May 10, 2023 | kr0.750 | 1.67% |
| 3 | Nov 23, 2022 | Nov 23, 2022 | Nov 23, 2022 | kr1.00 | 2.12% |
| 4 | May 25, 2022 | May 25, 2022 | May 25, 2022 | kr1.00 | 1.08% |
| 5 | May 22, 2019 | May 22, 2019 | May 22, 2019 | kr2.00 | 3.06% |
FAQ
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