abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF Forecast
abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF price gained 0.446% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $20.16 to $20.25. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.521% from a day low at $20.17 to a day high of $20.28. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.32% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 50 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 278 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.62 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $22.08 and $22.74 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BCI Signals & Forecast
The abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $20.35. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $20.20. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF
abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy finds support from accumulated volume at $19.25 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.105 between high and low, or 0.521%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.81%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $19.28 (-4.78%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BCI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF to open at $20.23, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.07 and $20.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.184 (+/-0.91%) up or down from last closing price. If abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $20.45 (0.99%) than the support at $19.25 (4.94%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.859 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$20.23 ( 0.0905%) | $20.25 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BCI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 20.34 | 0.428 % | |
R2 | 20.30 | 0.230 % | ||
R1 | 20.27 | 0.108 % | ||
Current price: | 20.25 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.19 | -0.289 % | |
S2 | 20.17 | -0.411 % | ||
S3 | 20.13 | -0.609 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 20.53 | 1.38 % | |
R2 | 20.50 | 1.23 % | ||
R1 | 20.45 | 0.99 % | ||
Current price | 20.25 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.25 | -4.94% | |
S2 | 19.08 | -5.78% | ||
S3 | 19.01 | -6.12% |
BCI Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 15, 2023 | $0.761 | 3.92% |
2 | Dec 15, 2022 | Dec 16, 2022 | Dec 21, 2022 | $4.41 | 19.95% |
3 | Dec 20, 2021 | Dec 21, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | $4.47 | 19.34% |
4 | Dec 18, 2020 | Dec 21, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | $0.150 | 0.698% |
5 | Dec 18, 2019 | Dec 19, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | $0.334 | 1.47% |
FAQ
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