BEML Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
BEML Limited stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The BEML Limited stock price gained 2.67% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st May 2024), rising from ₹4,277.55 to ₹4,391.90. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 9.27% from a day low at ₹4,205.05 to a day high of ₹4,595.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 18.7% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 42 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 70 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹305.88 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 42.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹5,080.75 and ₹6,703.58 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BEML.BO Signals & Forecast
The BEML Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹4,473.69. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹3,753.67. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.49%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BEML Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹4,012.60 and ₹3,801.45. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, BEML Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹4,012.60. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹3,801.45 and ₹3,679.60.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹389.95 between high and low, or 9.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹4,221.99 (-3.87%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BEML.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect BEML Limited to open at ₹4,397.32, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹4,164.27 and ₹4,619.53, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹227.63 (+/-5.18%) up or down from last closing price. If BEML Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹4,454.45 (1.42%) than the support at ₹4,012.60 (8.64%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is BEML Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for BEML Limited stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.459 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for BEML Limited of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹4,397.32 ( 0.123%) | ₹4,391.90 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BEML.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4,787.27 | 9.00 % | |
| R2 | 4,638.31 | 5.61 % | ||
| R1 | 4,546.28 | 3.52 % | ||
| Current price: | 4,391.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4,248.36 | -3.27 % | |
| S2 | 4,156.33 | -5.36 % | ||
| S3 | 4,007.37 | -8.76 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4,562.15 | 3.88 % | |
| R2 | 4,553.90 | 3.69 % | ||
| R1 | 4,454.45 | 1.42 % | ||
| Current price | 4,391.90 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4,012.60 | -8.64% | |
| S2 | 3,801.45 | -13.44% | ||
| S3 | 3,679.60 | -16.22% |
BEML Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 16, 2024 | Feb 16, 2024 | Mar 09, 2024 | ₹5.00 | 0.156% |
| 2 | Sep 20, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | Oct 27, 2023 | ₹5.00 | 0.249% |
| 3 | Feb 24, 2023 | Feb 24, 2023 | Mar 12, 2023 | ₹5.00 | 0.428% |
| 4 | Sep 13, 2017 | Sep 13, 2017 | Oct 21, 2017 | ₹8.00 | 0.473% |
| 5 | Sep 07, 2016 | Sep 07, 2016 | Sep 07, 2016 | ₹4.00 | 0.370% |
FAQ
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