Banca Generali S.p.A. Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Banca Generali S.p.A. stock price after Wednesday trading.
(Updated on May 15, 2024)
The Banca Generali S.p.A. stock price fell by -0.493% on the last day (Wednesday, 15th May 2024) from 40.60€ to 40.40€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.95% from a day low at 40.04€ to a day high of 40.82€. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.72% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -34 thousand shares and in total, 289 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 11.66€ million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at 40.67€ will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 40.12€ and 45.33€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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BGN.MI Signals & Forecast
The Banca Generali S.p.A. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 39.46€ and 36.86€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.493%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Banca Generali S.p.A. stock
Banca Generali S.p.A. finds support from accumulated volume at 38.82€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.780€ between high and low, or 1.95%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.34%.
The Banca Generali S.p.A. stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: 39.03€ (-3.39%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 90 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (BGN.MI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect Banca Generali S.p.A. to open at 40.42€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 39.75€ and 41.05€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.646€ (+/-1.60%) up or down from last closing price. If Banca Generali S.p.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 40.58€ (0.45%) than the support at 38.82€ (3.91%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Banca Generali S.p.A. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Banca Generali S.p.A. stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.971 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Banca Generali S.p.A. of Thursday, May 16, 2024
Fair opening price May 16, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
40.42€ ( 0.0495%) | 40.40€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BGN.MI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 41.20 | 1.98 % | |
R2 | 40.90 | 1.24 % | ||
R1 | 40.72 | 0.787 % | ||
Current price: | 40.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 40.12 | -0.688 % | |
S2 | 39.94 | -1.14 % | ||
S3 | 39.64 | -1.88 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 40.60 | 0.495 % | ||
R1 | 40.58 | 0.446 % | ||
Current price | 40.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 38.82 | -3.91% | |
S2 | 36.09 | -10.67% | ||
S3 | 35.34 | -12.52% |
BGN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 17, 2025 | Feb 17, 2025 | Feb 19, 2025 | 0.600€ | 1.49% |
2 | May 20, 2024 | May 20, 2024 | May 22, 2024 | 1.55€ | 3.84% |
3 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | 1.00€ | 3.31% |
4 | Feb 20, 2023 | Feb 20, 2023 | Feb 20, 2023 | 0.80€ | 2.41% |
5 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | 1.15€ | 3.54% |
FAQ
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