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Weaker technical forecast for Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 07, 2026)
The Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin ETF price gained 0.330% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 7th Jul 2026), rising from $12.13 to $12.17. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 5.47% from a day low at $11.69 to a day high of $12.33. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.87% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $94.53 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -38.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5.96 and $9.30 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
BITX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has risen 17.93%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $13.77. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $11.19. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin ETF
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $11.14 and $10.78. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin finds support just below today's level at $11.14. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $10.78 and $10.32.
This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $0.640 between high and low, or 5.47%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 5.71%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (BITX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin Strategy Etf to open at $12.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $11.71 and $12.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.93 (+/-7.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin Strategy Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.30 (1.07%) than the support at $11.14 (8.46%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin Strategy Etf ETF A Buy?
Volatility Shares Trust - 2x Bitcoin holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.087
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 8, 2026 - $12.06 ( 0.88%).
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BITX Performance
Trading levels for BITX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.70 | 4.38% |
| R2 | 12.46 | 2.37% |
| R1 | 12.31 | 1.13% |
| Price | 12.17 | |
| S1 | 11.82 | -2.88% |
| S2 | 11.67 | -4.13% |
| S3 | 11.42 | -6.13% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.91 | 14.30% |
| R2 | 12.43 | 2.14% |
| R1 | 12.30 | 1.07% |
| Price | 12.17 | |
| S1 | 11.14 | -8.46% |
| S2 | 10.78 | -11.42% |
| S3 | 10.32 | -15.20% |
BITX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 17, 2026 | Jun 17, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $0.0175 | 0.140% |
| 2 | May 20, 2026 | May 20, 2026 | May 21, 2026 | $0.0210 | 0.112% |
| 3 | Apr 22, 2026 | Apr 22, 2026 | Apr 23, 2026 | $0.0150 | 0.0761% |
| 4 | Mar 18, 2026 | Mar 18, 2026 | Mar 19, 2026 | $0.0165 | 0.103% |
| 5 | Feb 18, 2026 | Feb 18, 2026 | Feb 19, 2026 | $0.0201 | 0.133% |
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