BP Stock Forecast
BP stock price up 0.0776% on Friday
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The BP stock price gained 0.0776% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $38.67 to $38.70. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.65% from a day low at $38.11 to a day high of $38.74. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.47% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $247.85 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $38.27 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 12.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.03 and $45.89 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BP Signals & Forecast
A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 11, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.40%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The BP stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $38.99. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $38.56. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, August 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, August 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BP stock
BP finds support from accumulated volume at $38.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.630 between high and low, or 1.65%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $37.24 (-3.77%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect BP plc to open at $38.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $38.05 and $39.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.650 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If BP plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $38.91 (0.54%) than the support at $38.40 (0.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
BP will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, May 07, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.03. We will update the financials statements for BP, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.66% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is BP plc stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period.
Current score: 2.751 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for BP plc of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$38.52 ( 0.474%) | $38.70 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 39.15 | 1.15 % | |
R2 | 38.91 | 0.532 % | ||
R1 | 38.76 | 0.148 % | ||
Current price: | 38.70 | |||
Support | S1 | 38.28 | -1.10 % | |
S2 | 38.13 | -1.48 % | ||
S3 | 37.89 | -2.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 39.47 | 1.99 % | |
R2 | 39.29 | 1.52 % | ||
R1 | 38.91 | 0.543 % | ||
Current price | 38.70 | |||
Support | S1 | 38.40 | -0.775% | |
S2 | 36.43 | -5.87% | ||
S3 | 36.39 | -5.97% |
BP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.431 | 1.14% |
2 | Oct 31, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | $0.436 | 1.23% |
3 | Aug 01, 2023 | Aug 10, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | $0.436 | 1.13% |
4 | May 02, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.397 | 1.14% |
5 | Feb 07, 2023 | Feb 16, 2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $0.397 | 1.05% |
FAQ
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