ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF upgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF price fell by -0.544% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from ₹64.29 to ₹63.94. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.77% from a day low at ₹63.80 to a day high of ₹64.93. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.86% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -9 thousand shares and in total, 21 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹1.34 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 21.39% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹77.62 and ₹82.31 at the end of this 3-month period.
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BSLGOLDETF.NS Signals & Forecast
The ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹64.48. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹62.48. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, July 12, 2023.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, July 12, 2023.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 01, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Wednesday, July 12, 2023.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF
ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR finds support from accumulated volume at ₹63.86 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved ₹1.13 between high and low, or 1.77%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.44%
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹60.90 (-4.75%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BSLGOLDETF.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect ABSL MF GOLD ETF/ETF RGLR to open at ₹64.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹62.60 and ₹65.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹1.34 (+/-2.09%) up or down from last closing price. If ABSL MF GOLD ETF/ETF RGLR takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ₹63.86 (0.13%) than the resistance at ₹64.09 (0.23%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is ABSL MF GOLD ETF/ETF RGLR ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ABSL MF GOLD / RGLR ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.911 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for ABSL MF GOLD ETF/ETF RGLR of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹64.22 ( 0.443%) | ₹63.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BSLGOLDETF.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 65.35 | 2.21 % | |
R2 | 64.92 | 1.54 % | ||
R1 | 64.65 | 1.12 % | ||
Current price: | 63.94 | |||
Support | S1 | 63.79 | -0.232 % | |
S2 | 63.52 | -0.649 % | ||
S3 | 63.09 | -1.32 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 65.55 | 2.52 % | |
R2 | 64.65 | 1.11 % | ||
R1 | 64.09 | 0.235 % | ||
Current price | 63.94 | |||
Support | S1 | 63.86 | -0.125% | |
S2 | 62.29 | -2.58% | ||
S3 | 56.04 | -12.36% |
FAQ
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