Sierra Bancorp Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 18, 2026 Gain 8.13%

The Sierra Bancorp stock price gained 0.760% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $40.77 to $41.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.48% from a day low at $40.55 to a day high of $41.15. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.63% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 29 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.20 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $46.12 and $48.81 at the end of this 3-month period.

BSRR Signals & Forecast

The Sierra Bancorp stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $40.90 and $39.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Sierra Bancorp has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.44%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Sierra Bancorp stock

Sierra Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $41.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.600 between high and low, or 1.48%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.92%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $39.37 (-4.16%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 6 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (BSRR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Sierra Bancorp to open at $40.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $40.51 and $41.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.15 (+/-2.84%) up or down from last closing price. If Sierra Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.84% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $41.07 (0.02%) than the resistance at $41.09 (0.02%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Sierra Bancorp stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Sierra Bancorp stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.589 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $40.93 ( 0.373%).

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