Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Forecast
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price up 0.118% on Tuesday
(Updated on May 14, 2024)
The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price gained 0.118% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 14th May 2024), rising from $76.21 to $76.30. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0918% from a day low at $76.26 to a day high of $76.33. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.49% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 74 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $86.83 million.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $76.44 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $74.97 and $75.81 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BSV Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $76.24 and $76.15. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.646%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $75.92 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0700 between high and low, or 0.0918%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.1000%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $70.09 (-8.15%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BSV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 15th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 15th we expect Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund to open at $76.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $76.16 and $76.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.144 (+/-0.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $76.32 (0.03%) than the support at $75.92 (0.50%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.917 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund of Wednesday, May 15, 2024
Fair opening price May 15, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$76.30 ( 0.0044%) | $76.30 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BSV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 76.37 | 0.0874 % | |
R2 | 76.34 | 0.0523 % | ||
R1 | 76.32 | 0.0307 % | ||
Current price: | 76.30 | |||
Support | S1 | 76.27 | -0.0394 % | |
S2 | 76.25 | -0.0611 % | ||
S3 | 76.23 | -0.0961 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 76.63 | 0.433 % | |
R2 | 76.58 | 0.367 % | ||
R1 | 76.32 | 0.0262 % | ||
Current price | 76.30 | |||
Support | S1 | 75.92 | -0.498% | |
S2 | 75.91 | -0.511% | ||
S3 | 75.89 | -0.537% |
BSV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 17, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 06, 2024 | $0.202 | 0.265% |
2 | Jan 17, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | $0.204 | 0.267% |
3 | Jan 17, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 06, 2024 | $0.188 | 0.246% |
4 | Jan 17, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | $0.198 | 0.257% |
5 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.195 | 0.254% |
FAQ
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