Vanguard Short-term Bond Index Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since May 21, 2026 Loss -0.03%

The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF price gained 0.232% on the last trading day (Thursday, 11th Jun 2026), rising from $77.66 to $77.84. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.277% from a day low at $77.66 to a day high of $77.87. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.28% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 383 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $177.34 million.

The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $76.89 and $77.48 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

BSV Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.322%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $77.97. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $77.70. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $77.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.215 between high and low, or 0.277%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.142%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BSV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 12th we expect Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund to open at $77.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $77.76 and $77.92, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.152 (+/-0.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $77.80 (0.05%) than the resistance at $78.30 (0.59%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF A Buy?

Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -1.612 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 12, 2026 - $77.79 ( 0.0664%).

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