Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. stock price gained 4.49% on the last trading day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024), rising from 9.13€ to 9.54€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.40% from a day low at 9.23€ to a day high of 9.54€. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.78% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 398 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 398 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 3.80€ million.
The stock lies the upper part of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at 9.66€ will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 7.74€ and 8.44€ at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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BVA.L Signals & Forecast
The Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 9.18€ and 9.50€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.59%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. stock
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. finds support from accumulated volume at 9.50€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.314€ between high and low, or 3.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.69%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 9.10€ (-4.63%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 31 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (BVA.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. to open at 9.44€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 9.18€ and 9.90€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.364€ (+/-3.81%) up or down from last closing price. If Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 9.50€ (0.42%) than the resistance at 9.93€ (4.12%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. stock A Buy?
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.a. of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 9.44€ ( 1.10%) | 9.54€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for BVA.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 9.75 | 2.19% |
| R2 | 9.63 | 0.94% |
| R1 | 9.56 | 0.160% |
| Price | 9.54 | |
| S1 | 9.32 | -2.35% |
| S2 | 9.24 | -3.13% |
| S3 | 9.12 | -4.39% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.30 | 7.97% |
| R2 | 9.97 | 4.51% |
| R1 | 9.93 | 4.12% |
| Price | 9.54 | |
| S1 | 9.50 | -0.419% |
| S2 | 9.48 | -0.629% |
| S3 | 9.27 | -2.83% |
BVA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 08, 2024 | Apr 08, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | 0.390€ | 3.83% |
| 2 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | 0.160€ | 2.08% |
| 3 | Apr 03, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | 0.310€ | 4.94% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Oct 07, 2022 | Oct 26, 2022 | 0.120€ | 2.29% |
| 5 | Apr 06, 2022 | Apr 06, 2022 | Apr 06, 2022 | 0.230€ | 4.74% |
FAQ
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