Citizens Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Citizens Inc stock price on Friday moving 11.76% between high and low
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Citizens Inc stock price gained 8.53% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from $2.58 to $2.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.76% from a day low at $2.55 to a day high of $2.85. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 32.7% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 65 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 101 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $283.38 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.57 and $2.48 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CIA Signals & Forecast
The Citizens Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $2.55 and $2.19. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 45.83%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Citizens Inc has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Citizens Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $2.34 and $2.12. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Citizens Inc finds support just below today's level at $2.34. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $2.12 and $2.11.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.300 between high and low, or 11.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.66%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $2.70 (-3.56%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 25 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CIA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Citizens Inc to open at $2.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.61 and $2.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.191 (+/-6.80%) up or down from last closing price. If Citizens Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.61% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $2.81 (0.36%) than the support at $2.34 (16.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Citizens Inc stock A Buy?
Citizens Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Citizens Inc of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $2.73 ( 2.38%) | $2.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CIA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.03 | 8.33 % | |
| R2 | 2.92 | 4.24 % | ||
| R1 | 2.85 | 1.71 % | ||
| Current price: | 2.80 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.62 | -6.47 % | |
| S2 | 2.55 | -9.00 % | ||
| S3 | 2.43 | -13.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2.98 | 6.43 % | |
| R2 | 2.88 | 2.86 % | ||
| R1 | 2.81 | 0.357 % | ||
| Current price | 2.80 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.34 | -16.43% | |
| S2 | 2.12 | -24.29% | ||
| S3 | 2.11 | -24.64% |
FAQ
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