China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Is China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock still a buy after falling -6.40% on Friday?
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -6.40% on the last day (Friday, 31st May 2024) from $0.95 to $0.89. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.88% from a day low at $0.88 to a day high of $0.92. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -9.57% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 21 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $18.36 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 39.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.23 and $1.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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CMCLF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.95 and $0.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -18.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock
China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at $0.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0343 between high and low, or 3.88%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CMCLF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. to open at $0.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.83 and $0.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0530 (+/-5.98%) up or down from last closing price. If China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 11.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.92 (3.81%) than the support at $0.85 (4.11%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. will release earnings BMO on Friday, June 07, 2024. We will update the financials statements for China Molybdenum Co., Ltd., that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.95% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?
The China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Sell to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.715 Sell Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for China Molybdenum Co., Ltd. of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.90 ( 1.11%) | $0.89 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CMCLF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.93 | 4.98 % | |
| R2 | 0.92 | 3.50 % | ||
| R1 | 0.91 | 2.59 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.88 | -0.369 % | |
| S2 | 0.87 | -1.28 % | ||
| S3 | 0.86 | -2.76 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.94 | 6.19 % | |
| R2 | 0.92 | 4.10 % | ||
| R1 | 0.92 | 3.81 % | ||
| Current price | 0.89 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.85 | -4.11% | |
| S2 | 0.84 | -4.75% | ||
| S3 | 0.82 | -7.72% |
CMCLF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | $0.0120 | 2.31% |
| 2 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | Jun 29, 2022 | $0.0110 | 2.04% |
| 3 | Jun 18, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | $0.0050 | 0.88% |
| 4 | Jun 16, 2020 | Jun 16, 2020 | Jun 16, 2020 | $0.0060 | 1.76% |
| 5 | Jun 15, 2018 | Jun 15, 2018 | Jun 15, 2018 | $0.0120 | 2.18% |
FAQ
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