Capita plc Stock Forecast
Capita plc stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Capita plc stock price gained 0.299% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024), rising from £13.40 to £13.44. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.97% from a day low at £13.22 to a day high of £13.74. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.75% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -535 thousand shares and in total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £78.13 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -32.37% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £6.90 and £10.58 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CPI.L Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Capita plc stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at £13.45. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at £13.32. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 03, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.52%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Capita plc stock
Capita plc finds support from accumulated volume at £13.34 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £0.525 between high and low, or 3.97%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.34%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £12.69 (-5.61%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 19 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (CPI.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Capita plc to open at £13.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £12.75 and £14.13, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.694 (+/-5.16%) up or down from last closing price. If Capita plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £13.34 (0.74%) than the resistance at £13.55 (0.82%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Capita plc stock A Buy?
Capita plc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.523 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Capita plc of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £13.47 ( 0.186%) | £13.44 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CPI.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 13.99 | 4.09 % | |
| R2 | 13.79 | 2.60 % | ||
| R1 | 13.67 | 1.68 % | ||
| Current price: | 13.44 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.26 | -1.31 % | |
| S2 | 13.14 | -2.23 % | ||
| S3 | 12.94 | -3.72 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.65 | 16.44 % | |
| R2 | 14.62 | 8.78 % | ||
| R1 | 13.55 | 0.82 % | ||
| Current price | 13.44 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.34 | -0.744% | |
| S2 | 13.32 | -0.89% | ||
| S3 | 13.20 | -1.79% |
CPI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 21, 2017 | Oct 19, 2017 | Nov 30, 2017 | £6.77 | 2.38% |
| 2 | Mar 02, 2017 | May 25, 2017 | Jul 03, 2017 | £12.56 | 3.03% |
| 3 | Jul 27, 2016 | Oct 20, 2016 | Nov 30, 2016 | £6.77 | 2.12% |
| 4 | Feb 25, 2016 | Apr 21, 2016 | May 31, 2016 | £12.93 | 1.99% |
| 5 | Jul 29, 2015 | Oct 22, 2015 | Nov 30, 2015 | £6.40 | 0.83% |
FAQ
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