SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF Forecast
SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF price fell by -0.0578% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from $42.23 to $42.21. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.0711% from a day low at $42.18 to a day high of $42.21. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.91% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 80 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $99.91 thousand.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $42.23 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $41.25 and $42.02 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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EMTL Signals & Forecast
The SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $42.11 and $41.88. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.0578%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, May 06, 2024.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, May 06, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 for the short-term and also have Golden Star Signal for the medium-term dated Monday, May 06, 2024.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed ETF
SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed finds support from accumulated volume at $42.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0300 between high and low, or 0.0711%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.160%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EMTL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income ETF to open at $42.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $42.10 and $42.32, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.107 (+/-0.25%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $42.23 (0.04%) than the support at $42.07 (0.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income ETF ETF A Buy?
SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.009 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income ETF of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$42.20 ( 0.0237%) | $42.21 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EMTL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 42.23 | 0.0474 % | |
R2 | 42.22 | 0.0202 % | ||
R1 | 42.21 | 0.0035 % | ||
Current price: | 42.21 | |||
Support | S1 | 42.19 | -0.0508 % | |
S2 | 42.18 | -0.0676 % | ||
S3 | 42.17 | -0.0948 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 42.28 | 0.166 % | |
R2 | 42.23 | 0.0578 % | ||
R1 | 42.23 | 0.0403 % | ||
Current price | 42.21 | |||
Support | S1 | 42.07 | -0.344% | |
S2 | 42.03 | -0.426% | ||
S3 | 41.76 | -1.07% |
EMTL Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 01, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | $0.178 | 0.425% |
2 | Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.190 | 0.452% |
3 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 07, 2024 | $0.190 | 0.450% |
4 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | $0.180 | 0.429% |
5 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.182 | 0.435% |
FAQ
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