iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF price down 0.502% on Tuesday
(Updated on May 07, 2024)
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF price fell by -0.502% on the last day (Tuesday, 7th May 2024) from $57.78 to $57.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.357% from a day low at $57.46 to a day high of $57.66. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.62% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -743 thousand shares and in total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $60.58 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $56.13 and $59.69 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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EMXC Signals & Forecast
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $57.16 and $56.97. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.502%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China finds support from accumulated volume at $57.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.205 between high and low, or 0.357%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $55.33 (-3.75%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (EMXC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF to open at $57.54, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $56.93 and $58.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.564 (+/-0.98%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $57.57 (0.14%) than the support at $57.23 (0.45%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 3.182 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF of Wednesday, May 8, 2024
| Fair opening price May 8, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $57.54 ( 0.0783%) | $57.49 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EMXC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 57.74 | 0.435 % | |
| R2 | 57.66 | 0.299 % | ||
| R1 | 57.61 | 0.214 % | ||
| Current price: | 57.49 | |||
| Support | S1 | 57.46 | -0.0579 % | |
| S2 | 57.41 | -0.142 % | ||
| S3 | 57.33 | -0.278 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 57.64 | 0.261 % | |
| R2 | 57.58 | 0.157 % | ||
| R1 | 57.57 | 0.139 % | ||
| Current price | 57.49 | |||
| Support | S1 | 57.23 | -0.452% | |
| S2 | 56.23 | -2.19% | ||
| S3 | 56.01 | -2.57% |
EMXC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $0.637 | 1.15% |
| 2 | Jun 06, 2023 | Jun 07, 2023 | Jun 13, 2023 | $0.376 | 0.712% |
| 3 | Dec 12, 2022 | Dec 13, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | $0.85 | 1.77% |
| 4 | Jun 08, 2022 | Jun 09, 2022 | Jun 15, 2022 | $0.507 | 1.02% |
| 5 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 30, 2021 | Jan 05, 2022 | $0.0420 | 0.0694% |
FAQ
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