Enphase Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 02, 2026 Loss -4.99%

The Enphase stock price fell by -2.27% on the last day (Monday, 10th Aug 2026) from $41.87 to $40.92. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.59% from a day low at $40.63 to a day high of $42.09. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.66% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $112.42 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -28.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.16 and $39.81 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

ENPH Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Enphase stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $42.46. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $40.01. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -43.43%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Enphase stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $37.65 and $36.32. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Enphase finds support just below today's level at $37.65. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $36.32 and $35.07.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $1.46 between high and low, or 3.59%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.02%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (ENPH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 11th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 11th we expect Enphase Energy to open at $41.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.47 and $42.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.89 (+/-7.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Enphase Energy takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $37.65 (7.99%) than the resistance at $48.01 (17.33%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Enphase Energy stock A Buy?

Enphase holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.473 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 11, 2026 - $41.21 ( 0.717%).

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