Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock price gained 0.320% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st May 2024), rising from 5.63€ to 5.65€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.93% from a day low at 5.62€ to a day high of 5.67€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 7.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 20 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 27 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 150.75€ thousand.
The stock has broken the wide and weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at 5.59€, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory 6.37€ will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.
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ERCB.DE Signals & Forecast
The Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 5.53€ and 5.08€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 22.44%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 5.25€ and 4.98€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) finds support just below today's level at 5.25€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 4.98€ and 4.65€.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.0520€ between high and low, or 0.93%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.30%.
The Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (81). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.
Our recommended stop-loss: 5.46€ (-3.38%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 52 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ERCB.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) to open at 5.64€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 5.55€ and 5.75€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0998€ (+/-1.77%) up or down from last closing price. If Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.54% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ 5.25€, some 0.398€ (7.05%) from the current price of 5.65€, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) stock A Buy?
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 5.64€ ( 0.0708%) | 5.65€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ERCB.DE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.70 | 0.85 % | |
| R2 | 5.68 | 0.498 % | ||
| R1 | 5.66 | 0.281 % | ||
| Current price: | 5.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.62 | -0.423 % | |
| S2 | 5.61 | -0.640 % | ||
| S3 | 5.59 | -0.99 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 5.65 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.25 | -7.05% | |
| S2 | 4.98 | -11.79% | ||
| S3 | 4.65 | -17.74% |
ERCB Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oct 01, 2024 | Oct 01, 2024 | Oct 07, 2024 | 0.117€ | 2.07% |
| 2 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | Apr 04, 2024 | 0€ | 0% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | 1.35€ | 25.33% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Oct 14, 2022 | 1.25€ | 19.41% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | 1.25€ | 14.83% |
FAQ
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