- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.98)
- Bullish long-term trend in place
iShares MSCI Australia ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The iShares MSCI Australia ETF price fell by -1.61% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $29.82 to $29.34. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.31% from a day low at $29.02 to a day high of $29.40. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.05% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 104 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $60.05 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares MSCI Australia ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $26.95 and $29.22 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
EWA Signals & Forecast
The iShares MSCI Australia ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $29.10 and $28.56. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares MSCI Australia ETF
iShares MSCI Australia finds support from accumulated volume at $29.32 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.380 between high and low, or 1.31%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.38%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $28.36 (-3.35%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (EWA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect iShares MSCI Australia ETF to open at $29.25, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $29.13 and $29.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.419 (+/-1.44%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares MSCI Australia ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $29.32 (0.07%) than the resistance at $29.59 (0.85%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is iShares MSCI Australia ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares MSCI Australia holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.530
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $29.25 ( 0.295%).
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EWA Performance
Trading levels for EWA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 29.63 | 1.00% |
| R2 | 29.49 | 0.505% |
| R1 | 29.40 | 0.199% |
| Price | 29.34 | |
| S1 | 29.11 | -0.789% |
| S2 | 29.02 | -1.09% |
| S3 | 28.87 | -1.59% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 30.12 | 2.66% |
| R2 | 29.82 | 1.64% |
| R1 | 29.59 | 0.85% |
| Price | 29.34 | |
| S1 | 29.32 | -0.0682% |
| S2 | 28.06 | -4.36% |
| S3 | 27.93 | -4.81% |
EWA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 15, 2026 | Jun 18, 2026 | $0.405 | 1.42% |
| 2 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 16, 2025 | Dec 19, 2025 | $0.444 | 1.72% |
| 3 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 16, 2025 | Jun 20, 2025 | $0.397 | 1.56% |
| 4 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 17, 2024 | Dec 20, 2024 | $0.417 | 1.75% |
| 5 | Nov 29, 2023 | Jun 11, 2024 | Jun 17, 2024 | $0.469 | 1.94% |
FAQ
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