First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock price gained 0.797% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $6.27 to $6.32. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.92% from a day low at $6.24 to a day high of $6.36. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.48% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 28 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 51 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $322.23 thousand.
The stock is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $6.23 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $6.28 and $6.74 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FAM Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $6.32 and $6.43. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.61%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock
First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity finds support from accumulated volume at $6.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.120 between high and low, or 1.92%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.31%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $5.96 (-5.75%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 13 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FAM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity Income Fund to open at $6.31, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $6.23 and $6.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0941 (+/-1.49%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity Income Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $6.31 (0.16%) than the resistance at $6.39 (1.11%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity Income Fund stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity stock to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.896 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for First Trust/Aberdeen Global Opportunity Income Fund of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$6.31 ( 0.211%) | $6.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FAM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 6.43 | 1.69 % | |
R2 | 6.38 | 0.96 % | ||
R1 | 6.35 | 0.513 % | ||
Current price: | 6.32 | |||
Support | S1 | 6.26 | -0.94 % | |
S2 | 6.23 | -1.38 % | ||
S3 | 6.19 | -2.11 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 6.44 | 1.90 % | |
R2 | 6.42 | 1.58 % | ||
R1 | 6.39 | 1.11 % | ||
Current price | 6.32 | |||
Support | S1 | 6.31 | -0.158% | |
S2 | 6.30 | -0.316% | ||
S3 | 6.30 | -0.396% |
FAM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 22, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.95% |
2 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.95% |
3 | Feb 20, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.92% |
4 | Jan 22, 2024 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.95% |
5 | Dec 20, 2023 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 16, 2024 | $0.0600 | 0.95% |
FAQ
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