Fate Therapeutics Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Fate Therapeutics stock price fell more than -10.00% Thursday closing at $3.87
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Fate Therapeutics stock price fell by -10.00% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $4.30 to $3.87. It has now fallen 10 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 9.79% from a day low at $3.78 to a day high of $4.15. The price has fallen in 10 of the last 10 days and is down by -34.96% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $13.80 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $3.68 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.31 and $7.07 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FATE Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Fate Therapeutics stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.66 and $6.52. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -53.65%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fate Therapeutics stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.370 between high and low, or 9.79%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.55%.
Fate Therapeutics is oversold on RSI14 (2). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FATE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Fate Therapeutics to open at $3.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.38 and $4.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.491 (+/-12.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Fate Therapeutics takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 25.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $4.30, some $0.430 (11.11%) from the current price of $3.87, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Fate Therapeutics will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.480. We will update the financials statements for Fate Therapeutics, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 7.19% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Fate Therapeutics stock A Buy?
Fate Therapeutics holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.676 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Fate Therapeutics of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.93 ( 1.64%) | $3.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FATE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.30 | 11.20 % | |
| R2 | 4.16 | 7.55 % | ||
| R1 | 4.07 | 5.29 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.79 | -2.02 % | |
| S2 | 3.70 | -4.27 % | ||
| S3 | 3.56 | -7.92 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.79 | 23.77 % | |
| R2 | 4.54 | 17.31 % | ||
| R1 | 4.30 | 11.11 % | ||
| Current price | 3.87 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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