Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF Forecast

Evaluation of Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)

FDMO Signals & Forecast

The Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $63.47 and $61.54. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.513%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF

Fidelity Momentum Factor finds support from accumulated volume at $62.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.780 between high and low, or 1.22%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.90%.

The Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $62.38 (-2.61%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 42 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FDMO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF to open at $64.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $63.41 and $64.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.641 (+/-1.00%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $64.38 (0.52%) than the support at $62.30 (2.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.962 Buy Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF of Friday, June 21, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.