Ferguson Plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Ferguson Plc stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Ferguson Plc stock price fell by -2.47% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from £17,030.00 to £16,610.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.45% from a day low at £16,580.00 to a day high of £16,820.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.24% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 39 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 106 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £1.76 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at £16,422.19 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.99% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £17,733.55 and £19,503.94 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FERG.L Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ferguson Plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £17,305.00 and £17,241.57. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ferguson Plc stock
Ferguson Plc finds support from accumulated volume at £16,485.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved £240.00 between high and low, or 1.45%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £15,768.94 (-5.06%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FERG.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Ferguson Plc to open at £16,670.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £16,286.67 and £16,933.33, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£323.33 (+/-1.95%) up or down from last closing price. If Ferguson Plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £16,485.00 (0.75%) than the resistance at £17,005.00 (2.38%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Ferguson Plc stock A Buy?
Ferguson Plc holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.582 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Ferguson Plc of Monday, May 20, 2024
| Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £16,670.00 ( 0.361%) | £16,610.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FERG.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 16,910.00 | 1.81 % | |
| R2 | 16,818.32 | 1.25 % | ||
| R1 | 16,761.68 | 0.91 % | ||
| Current price: | 16,610.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 16,578.32 | -0.191 % | |
| S2 | 16,521.68 | -0.532 % | ||
| S3 | 16,430.00 | -1.08 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 17,400.00 | 4.76 % | |
| R2 | 17,350.00 | 4.46 % | ||
| R1 | 17,005.00 | 2.38 % | ||
| Current price | 16,610.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 16,485.00 | -0.753% | |
| S2 | 16,240.00 | -2.23% | ||
| S3 | 16,000.00 | -3.67% |
FERG Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | May 07, 2024 | £61.95 | 0.353% |
| 2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | £0 | 0% |
| 3 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 15, 2023 | £75.00 | 0.632% |
| 4 | Mar 07, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | £59.00 | 0.537% |
| 5 | Dec 06, 2022 | Dec 15, 2022 | Feb 03, 2023 | £61.00 | 0.498% |
FAQ
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