Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF Forecast
Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF price up 0.208% on Wednesday
(Updated on Jul 03, 2024)
The Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF price gained 0.208% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 3rd Jul 2024), rising from $28.88 to $28.94. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.692% from a day low at $28.90 to a day high of $29.10. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.91% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 32 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 51 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.47 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $28.35 and $30.54 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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FESM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.01%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $29.06. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $28.86. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced ETF
Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced finds support from accumulated volume at $28.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.200 between high and low, or 0.692%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.87%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $27.32 (-5.60%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 33 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FESM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 5th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 5th we expect Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced Small Cap Etf to open at $28.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.61 and $29.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.335 (+/-1.16%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced Small Cap Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $29.09 (0.52%) than the support at $28.75 (0.66%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced Small Cap Etf ETF A Buy?
Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.972 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity Covington Trust - Enhanced Small Cap Etf of Friday, July 5, 2024
Fair opening price July 5, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$28.98 ( 0.138%) | $28.94 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FESM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 29.18 | 0.83% |
R2 | 29.10 | 0.565% |
R1 | 29.06 | 0.402% |
Price | 28.94 | |
S1 | 28.90 | -0.126% |
S2 | 28.86 | -0.289% |
S3 | 28.78 | -0.553% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 29.47 | 1.83% |
R2 | 29.30 | 1.24% |
R1 | 29.09 | 0.518% |
Price | 28.94 | |
S1 | 28.75 | -0.657% |
S2 | 28.68 | -0.90% |
S3 | 28.65 | -1.00% |
FESM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | $0.0690 | 0.234% |
2 | Dec 27, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 03, 2024 | $0.0180 | 0.0662% |
FAQ
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