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First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF Forecast

$38.85
-0.267 (-0.682%)
At Close: Apr 25, 2024
RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
AI Analysis of FGM
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First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF price down 0.682% on Thursday
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)

Sell candidate since Apr 24, 2024 Loss -0.68% PDF

The First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF price fell by -0.682% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $39.12 to $38.85. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0% from a day low at $38.85 to a day high of $38.85. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.19% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 37 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 42 shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.63 thousand.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $38.41 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $40.46 and $43.47 at the end of this 3-month period.

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FGM Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $39.48. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $38.73. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.49%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF

First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $38.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0 (0%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.0255%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (FGM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund to open at $38.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $38.53 and $39.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.316 (+/-0.81%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.63% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $39.39 (1.39%) than the support at $38.10 (1.93%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -2.538 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Opening Price for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund of Friday, April 26, 2024

Fair opening price April 26, 2024 Current price
$38.85 ( 0%) $38.85

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for FGM

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 38.85 .
R2 38.85 .
R1 38.85 .
Current price: 38.85
Support S1 38.85 .
S2 38.85 .
S3 38.85 .

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 40.34 3.84 %
R2 40.16 3.38 %
R1 39.39 1.39 %
Current price 38.85
Support S1 38.10 -1.93%
S2 37.55 -3.35%
S3 37.36 -3.84%

FGM Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Dec 22, 2023 Dec 22, 2023 Dec 29, 2023 $0.399 1.03%
2 Jun 26, 2023 Jun 27, 2023 Jun 30, 2023 $0.697 1.79%
3 Dec 22, 2022 Dec 23, 2022 Dec 30, 2022 $0.201 0.569%
4 Sep 22, 2022 Sep 23, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 $0.423 1.49%
5 Jun 23, 2022 Jun 24, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 $1.15 3.39%

FAQ

What is the symbol for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund is FGM and it is traded on the NYSEARCA (NYSE Arca).

Should I buy or sell First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF?
First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

How to buy First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF?
First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF.

What's the current price of First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF?
As of the end of day on the Apr 25, 2024, the price of an First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund (FGM) share was $38.85.

What is the 52-week high and low for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF?
The 52-week high for First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF is $40.83 and the 52-week low is $33.21.

What is the market capitalization of First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund ETF?
As of the Apr 25, 2024, the market capitalization of First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund is 11.96M.
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About First Trust Germany AlphaDEX Fund

FGM was created on 02/14/12 by First Trust. The ETF tracks a tiered equal-weighted index of 40 companies selected from the S&P Germany BMI based on the S&P's AlphaDex selection methodology.... FGM Profile

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