Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock price down 3.68% on Tuesday
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock price fell by -3.68% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from £168.40 to £162.20. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.25% from a day low at £162.20 to a day high of £169.10. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.16% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 746 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £231.27 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.26% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £177.22 and £213.84 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FGP.L Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £167.64 and £173.83. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -13.59%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock
Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. finds support from accumulated volume at £161.40 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £6.90 between high and low, or 4.25%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.72%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FGP.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. to open at £164.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £155.29 and £169.11, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£6.91 (+/-4.26%) up or down from last closing price. If Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £161.40 (0.49%) than the resistance at £179.30 (10.54%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock A Buy?
The Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.035 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £164.50 ( 1.42%) | £162.20 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FGP.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 171.40 | 5.67 % | |
| R2 | 168.76 | 4.05 % | ||
| R1 | 167.14 | 3.04 % | ||
| Current price: | 162.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 161.86 | -0.207 % | |
| S2 | 160.24 | -1.21 % | ||
| S3 | 157.60 | -2.84 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 187.70 | 15.72 % | |
| R2 | 183.80 | 13.32 % | ||
| R1 | 179.30 | 10.54 % | ||
| Current price | 162.20 | |||
| Support | S1 | 161.40 | -0.493% | |
| S2 | 158.20 | -2.47% | ||
| S3 | 157.50 | -2.90% |
FGP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nov 30, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | Nov 30, 2023 | £0 | 0% |
| 2 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | Jul 13, 2023 | £2.90 | 1.97% |
| 3 | Nov 09, 2022 | Nov 17, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | £0.90 | 0.89% |
| 4 | Jun 14, 2022 | Jul 14, 2022 | Aug 19, 2022 | £1.10 | 1.02% |
| 5 | Nov 07, 2012 | Jan 09, 2013 | Feb 07, 2013 | £6.21 | 3.90% |
FAQ
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