Fidelity International Value Factor ETF Forecast

Fidelity International Value Factor ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)

FIVA Signals & Forecast

The Fidelity International Value Factor ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $26.15 and $25.40. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 7.75%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity International Value Factor ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $24.74 and $24.70. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Fidelity International Value Factor finds support just below today's level at $24.74. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $24.70 and $24.69.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.163 between high and low, or 0.621%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.546%.

The Fidelity International Value Factor ETF is extremely overbought on RSI14 (77). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the ETF has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the ETF will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $25.02 (-5.31%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 77 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 21 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FIVA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Fidelity International Value Factor ETF to open at $26.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $26.20 and $26.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.218 (+/-0.82%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity International Value Factor ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $24.74, some $1.68 (6.35%) from the current price of $26.42, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Fidelity International Value Factor ETF ETF A Buy?

Fidelity International Value Factor holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity International Value Factor ETF of Monday, May 20, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.