First Trust Consumer Discretionary Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Gain 0.60%

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF price gained 0.599% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $68.45 to $68.86. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.07% from a day low at $68.48 to a day high of $69.21. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.83% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 3 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $467.01 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $65.64 and $75.03 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXD Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $68.81 and $68.18. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 1.97%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. First Trust Consumer Discretionary has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. Higher liquidity also reduces the general risk. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF

First Trust Consumer Discretionary finds support from accumulated volume at $67.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.730 between high and low, or 1.07%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.62%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $65.20 (-5.31%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund to open at $68.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $68.28 and $69.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.16 (+/-1.69%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $68.90 (0.06%) than the support at $67.80 (1.54%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Consumer Discretionary holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.734 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $68.85 ( 0.0194%).

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