First Trust Consumer Discretionary Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 08, 2026 Gain 2.43%

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF price fell by -0.99% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026) from $69.03 to $68.35. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.08% from a day low at $68.33 to a day high of $69.07. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.63% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $260.48 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.03% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $66.41 and $76.23 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXD Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $69.04. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $66.65. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 15, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.80%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF

First Trust Consumer Discretionary finds support from accumulated volume at $67.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.740 between high and low, or 1.08%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.61%

Our recommended stop-loss: $65.28 (-4.49%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund to open at $68.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $67.79 and $68.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.13 (+/-1.67%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.67% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $67.80 (0.80%) than the resistance at $69.54 (1.74%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust Consumer Discretionary holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.014 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $68.58 ( 0.341%).

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