First Trust Consumer Discretionary Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 27, 2026 Gain 0.05%

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF price fell by -1.10% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $70.75 to $69.97. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.18% from a day low at $69.70 to a day high of $70.52. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.84% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 120 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 8 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $545.70 thousand.

The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 8.23% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $72.85 and $77.85 at the end of this 3-month period.

FXD Signals & Forecast

The First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $69.97. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $69.24. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. First Trust Consumer Discretionary gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF

First Trust Consumer Discretionary finds support from accumulated volume at $68.68 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.82 between high and low, or 1.18%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.44%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $67.33 (-3.77%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (FXD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund to open at $70.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $69.34 and $70.60, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.26 (+/-1.81%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $70.28 (0.44%) than the support at $68.68 (1.84%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust Consumer Discretionary ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.075 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $70.06 ( 0.129%).

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