Gayatri Projects Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
High volatility in Gayatri Projects Limited stock price on Thursday which ended trading at ₹6.35
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Gayatri Projects Limited stock price fell by -0.470% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from ₹6.38 to ₹6.35. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.03% from a day low at ₹6.08 to a day high of ₹6.69. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -10.06% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 214 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 214 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹1.36 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at ₹5.98 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.04% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹5.38 and ₹8.36 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GAYAPROJ.BO Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Gayatri Projects Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ₹6.56 and ₹7.88. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 07, 2024, and so far it has fallen -35.86%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Gayatri Projects Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Gayatri Projects Limited stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹0.610 between high and low, or 10.03%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.01%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹6.03 (-5.00%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 33 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GAYAPROJ.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Gayatri Projects Limited to open at ₹6.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹6.19 and ₹6.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹0.160 (+/-2.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Gayatri Projects Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ ₹7.30, some ₹0.95 (14.96%) from the current price of ₹6.35, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Gayatri Projects Limited will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 08, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Gayatri Projects Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.18% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Gayatri Projects Limited stock A Buy?
Gayatri Projects Limited holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Gayatri Projects Limited of Friday, May 3, 2024
Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹6.37 ( 0.367%) | ₹6.35 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GAYAPROJ.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 6.98 | 9.97 % | |
R2 | 6.75 | 6.30 % | ||
R1 | 6.61 | 4.04 % | ||
Current price: | 6.35 | |||
Support | S1 | 6.14 | -3.30 % | |
S2 | 6.00 | -5.57 % | ||
S3 | 5.76 | -9.24 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 7.71 | 21.42 % | |
R2 | 7.35 | 15.75 % | ||
R1 | 7.30 | 14.96 % | ||
Current price | 6.35 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
GAYAPROJ Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 21, 2016 | Sep 21, 2016 | Sep 21, 2016 | ₹2.00 | 1.49% |
2 | Sep 21, 2015 | Sep 21, 2015 | Sep 21, 2015 | ₹1.00 | 1.01% |
3 | Sep 22, 2014 | Sep 22, 2014 | Sep 22, 2014 | ₹2.00 | 5.79% |
4 | Sep 20, 2013 | Sep 20, 2013 | Sep 20, 2013 | ₹3.00 | 25.82% |
5 | Sep 12, 2012 | Sep 12, 2012 | Sep 12, 2012 | ₹3.00 | 16.04% |
FAQ
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