Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Wednesday for Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed stock after losing 0.256%
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed stock price fell by -0.256% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $15.65 to $15.61. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.27% from a day low at $15.60 to a day high of $15.80. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.64% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -6 thousand shares and in total, 36 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $562.19 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $15.53 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.67 and $15.63 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GBAB Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $15.63 and $16.09. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 26, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.193%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed stock
Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed finds support from accumulated volume at $15.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.198 between high and low, or 1.27%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.13%
Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed is oversold on RSI14 (18). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $14.58 (-6.57%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 18 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GBAB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed Duration Trust to open at $15.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $15.42 and $15.80, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.195 (+/-1.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed Duration Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $15.58 (0.19%) than the resistance at $16.15 (3.46%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed Duration Trust stock A Buy?
Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.488 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Guggenheim Build America Bonds Managed Duration Trust of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$15.67 ( 0.380%) | $15.61 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GBAB
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 15.87 | 1.65 % | |
R2 | 15.79 | 1.16 % | ||
R1 | 15.74 | 0.86 % | ||
Current price: | 15.61 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.59 | -0.104 % | |
S2 | 15.55 | -0.404 % | ||
S3 | 15.47 | -0.89 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 16.26 | 4.16 % | |
R2 | 16.25 | 4.10 % | ||
R1 | 16.15 | 3.46 % | ||
Current price | 15.61 | |||
Support | S1 | 15.58 | -0.192% | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
GBAB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 12, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.126 | 0.80% |
2 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 29, 2024 | $0.126 | 0.774% |
3 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.126 | 0.779% |
4 | Jan 02, 2024 | Jan 11, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.126 | 0.751% |
5 | Dec 01, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.126 | 0.777% |
FAQ
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