Guild Holdings Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Guild Holdings Company stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Guild Holdings Company stock price fell by -0.427% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $14.04 to $13.98. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.77% from a day low at $13.71 to a day high of $14.09. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.14% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 116 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $16.65 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.16% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $12.89 and $14.11 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GHLD Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.63%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Guild Holdings Company stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $14.19. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $13.68. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Guild Holdings Company gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Guild Holdings Company stock
Guild Holdings Company finds support from accumulated volume at $13.85 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.380 between high and low, or 2.77%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.70%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.44 (-3.86%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GHLD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Guild Holdings Company to open at $13.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.71 and $14.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.274 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Guild Holdings Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.92% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.00 (0.14%) than the support at $13.85 (0.93%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Guild Holdings Company will release earnings AMC on Thursday, May 09, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $0.210. We will update the financials statements for Guild Holdings Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 5.93% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Guild Holdings Company stock A Buy?
Guild Holdings Company holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.303 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Guild Holdings Company of Monday, May 6, 2024
Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$13.93 ( 0.381%) | $13.98 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GHLD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.31 | 2.34 % | |
R2 | 14.16 | 1.30 % | ||
R1 | 14.07 | 0.657 % | ||
Current price: | 13.98 | |||
Support | S1 | 13.78 | -1.42 % | |
S2 | 13.69 | -2.06 % | ||
S3 | 13.55 | -3.10 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.94 | 6.87 % | |
R2 | 14.75 | 5.51 % | ||
R1 | 14.00 | 0.143 % | ||
Current price | 13.98 | |||
Support | S1 | 13.85 | -0.93% | |
S2 | 13.60 | -2.72% | ||
S3 | 13.50 | -3.43% |
GHLD Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 02, 2023 | Aug 22, 2023 | Sep 07, 2023 | $0.500 | 4.57% |
2 | Nov 11, 2021 | Nov 19, 2021 | Dec 08, 2021 | $1.00 | 6.59% |
3 | May 11, 2021 | May 20, 2021 | May 28, 2021 | $1.00 | 6.37% |
FAQ
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