Gran Tierra Energy Inc. Stock Forecast
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock downgraded from Strong Buy Candidate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock price fell by -0.631% on the last day (Friday, 17th May 2024) from $12.68 to $12.60. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.75% from a day low at $12.58 to a day high of $12.80. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.6% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -31 thousand shares and in total, 26 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $324.44 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $12.51 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 91.13% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $23.91 and $25.42 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GTE.TO Signals & Forecast
The Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $12.61. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $11.62. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock
Gran Tierra Energy Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $12.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 1.75%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.58%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.08 (-4.10%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (GTE.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Gran Tierra Energy Inc. to open at $12.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.16 and $13.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.439 (+/-3.49%) up or down from last closing price. If Gran Tierra Energy Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $12.68 (0.63%) than the support at $12.31 (2.30%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Gran Tierra Energy Inc. stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.785 Buy Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Gran Tierra Energy Inc. of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $12.66 ( 0.476%) | $12.60 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GTE.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.88 | 2.22 % | |
| R2 | 12.80 | 1.56 % | ||
| R1 | 12.74 | 1.14 % | ||
| Current price: | 12.60 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.58 | -0.191 % | |
| S2 | 12.52 | -0.603 % | ||
| S3 | 12.44 | -1.27 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 12.72 | 0.95 % | |
| R2 | 12.69 | 0.714 % | ||
| R1 | 12.68 | 0.635 % | ||
| Current price | 12.60 | |||
| Support | S1 | 12.31 | -2.30% | |
| S2 | 11.92 | -5.40% | ||
| S3 | 11.24 | -10.79% |
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