GSE Systems, Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
GSE Systems, Inc stock price down 3.75% on Friday
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The GSE Systems, Inc stock price fell by -3.75% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $2.67 to $2.57. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.56% from a day low at $2.57 to a day high of $2.79. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -14.62% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 11 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $81.15 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $2.52 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 72.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $4.35 and $6.21 at the end of this 3-month period.
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GVP Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The GSE Systems, Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.65 and $2.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 08, 2024, and so far it has fallen -21.17%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). GSE Systems, Inc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for GSE Systems, Inc stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $2.37 and $2.31. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, GSE Systems, Inc finds support just below today's level at $2.37. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $2.31 and $2.10.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.220 between high and low, or 8.56%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 8.30%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (GVP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect GSE Systems, Inc to open at $2.64, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.30 and $2.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.272 (+/-10.57%) up or down from last closing price. If GSE Systems, Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 21.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $2.61 (1.56%) than the support at $2.37 (7.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is GSE Systems, Inc stock A Buy?
The GSE Systems, Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe GSE Systems, Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -4.623 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for GSE Systems, Inc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $2.64 ( 2.85%) | $2.57 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for GVP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 2.86 | 11.41 % | |
| R2 | 2.78 | 8.14 % | ||
| R1 | 2.73 | 6.12 % | ||
| Current price: | 2.57 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.56 | -0.417 % | |
| S2 | 2.51 | -2.44 % | ||
| S3 | 2.42 | -5.71 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.17 | 23.15 % | |
| R2 | 2.67 | 3.89 % | ||
| R1 | 2.61 | 1.56 % | ||
| Current price | 2.57 | |||
| Support | S1 | 2.37 | -7.78% | |
| S2 | 2.31 | -10.12% | ||
| S3 | 2.10 | -18.29% |
FAQ
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