Harley-Davidson, Inc. Stock Forecast
Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock price down 2.82% on Tuesday
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock price fell by -2.82% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from 31.90€ to 31.00€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.16% from a day low at 31.00€ to a day high of 31.67€. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.06% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 15 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 40 shares were bought and sold for approximately 1.24€ thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -21.89% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 22.79€ and 24.96€ at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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HAR.DE Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.68%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 31.30€ and 32.01€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Harley-Davidson, Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock
Harley-Davidson, Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at 30.73€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 0.670€ (2.16%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.464%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HAR.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Harley-Davidson, Inc. to open at 31.22€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 30.47€ and 31.53€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.533€ (+/-1.72%) up or down from last closing price. If Harley-Davidson, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 30.73€ (0.87%) than the resistance at 31.37€ (1.19%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock A Buy?
Harley-Davidson, Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.639 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Harley-Davidson, Inc. of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 31.22€ ( 0.720%) | 31.00€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HAR.DE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.89 | 2.88% |
| R2 | 31.64 | 2.06% |
| R1 | 31.48 | 1.55% |
| Price | 31.00 | |
| S1 | 30.97 | -0.105% |
| S2 | 30.81 | -0.615% |
| S3 | 30.55 | -1.44% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 31.64 | 2.06% |
| R2 | 31.62 | 2.00% |
| R1 | 31.37 | 1.19% |
| Price | 31.00 | |
| S1 | 30.73 | -0.87% |
| S2 | 30.69 | -1.00% |
| S3 | 30.19 | -2.61% |
HAR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 05, 2024 | Jun 05, 2024 | Jun 21, 2024 | 0.159€ | 0.510% |
| 2 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | 0.160€ | 0.416% |
| 3 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | 0.165€ | 0.495% |
| 4 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 11, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | 0.165€ | 0.531% |
| 5 | Jun 02, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | Jun 02, 2023 | 0.165€ | 0.565% |
FAQ
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