Hkd/jpy Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 30, 2026 Loss -1.38%

The HKD/JPY currency pair price fell by -1.38% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from JP¥20.36 to JP¥20.08. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 2.27% from a day low at JP¥20.06 to a day high of JP¥20.51. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.09% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 188 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 191 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥3.83 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to rise 3.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥20.77 and JP¥21.65 at the end of this 3-month period.

HKDJPY Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The HKD/JPY currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥20.69 and JP¥20.65. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.93%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the currency pair should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for HKD/JPY currency pair

HKD/JPY finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥20.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved JP¥0.456 between high and low, or 2.27%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 1.49%.

HKD/JPY is oversold on RSI14 (22). Some currency pairs may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (HKDJPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect HKD/JPY to open at JP¥20.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥19.98 and JP¥20.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥0.191 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If HKD/JPY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at JP¥20.07 (0.03%) than the resistance at JP¥20.45 (1.86%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is HKD/JPY currency pair A Buy?

The HKD/JPY currency pair holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe HKD/JPY will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair.

Current score: -1.891 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - JP¥20.22 ( 0.690%).

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