Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock Forecast
A very red day for Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. stock price after a -9.09% fall in the Monday trading session
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. stock price fell by -9.09% on the last day (Monday, 6th May 2024) from $0.0110 to $0.0100. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.00% from a day low at $0.0100 to a day high of $0.0110. The price has fallen in 4 of the last 10 days and is down by -16.67% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 15 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 15 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $147.82 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $0.0099 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.0091 and $0.0110 at the end of this 3-month period.
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HOMEX.MX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.0113 and $0.0115. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has fallen -16.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0010 between high and low, or 10.00%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 11.64%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (HOMEX.MX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. to open at $0.0103, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.0090 and $0.0110, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0010 (+/-9.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $0.0110, some $0.0010 (10.00%) from the current price of $0.0100, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. stock A Buy?
Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -7.256 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$0.0103 ( 3.33%) | $0.0100 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for HOMEX.MX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.0113 | 13.33 % | |
R2 | 0.0110 | 9.51 % | ||
R1 | 0.0107 | 7.15 % | ||
Current price: | 0.0100 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.0100 | -0.487 % | |
S2 | 0.0097 | -2.85 % | ||
S3 | 0.0093 | -6.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0.0120 | 20.00 % | ||
R1 | 0.0110 | 10.00 % | ||
Current price | 0.0100 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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