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Explanation to Bollinger's Bands

Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.

Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.

Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation

BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.

BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)

Live Samples:

Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 1
Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 2
Bollinger Bottleneck Sell Pattern

Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.

Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com

RSI low/high Values: [ 25 - 75 ]
* StockInvest.us uses dynamically calculated RSI max/min levels to determine when stock is oversold or overbought based on historical behavior.
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Howmet Aerospace Inc stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 17, 2024)

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 26, 2024 Gain 24.89% PDF

The Howmet Aerospace Inc stock price gained 0.485% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from $82.53 to $82.93. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.97% from a day low at $82.27 to a day high of $83.07. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.12% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 million shares and in total, 972 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $80.63 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The stock has broken the wide and strong rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $79.60, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $92.38 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

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HWM Signals & Forecast

The Howmet Aerospace Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $81.74 and $70.55. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has risen 31.78%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Howmet Aerospace Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $77.10 and $66.07. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Howmet Aerospace Inc finds support just below today's level at $77.10. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $66.07 and $63.52.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.800 between high and low, or 0.97%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.47%.

The Howmet Aerospace Inc stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (87). Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but since the stock has broken the trend up, the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken.

Our recommended stop-loss: $79.51 (-4.12%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 87 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 19 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (HWM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Howmet Aerospace Inc to open at $82.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $81.24 and $84.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.69 (+/-2.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Howmet Aerospace Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $77.10, some $5.83 (7.03%) from the current price of $82.93, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Howmet Aerospace Inc stock A Buy?

Howmet Aerospace Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Opening Price for Howmet Aerospace Inc of Monday, May 20, 2024

Fair opening price May 20, 2024 Current price
$82.76 ( 0.209%) $82.93

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for HWM

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 83.56 0.756 %
R2 83.25 0.387 %
R1 83.06 0.159 %
Current price: 82.93
Support S1 82.45 -0.578 %
S2 82.26 -0.81 %
S3 81.96 -1.17 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 0 .
R2 0 .
R1 0 .
Current price 82.93
Support S1 77.10 -7.03%
S2 66.07 -20.33%
S3 63.52 -23.41%

HWM Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Apr 25, 2024 May 09, 2024 May 28, 2024 $0.0500 0.0603%
2 Mar 14, 2024 Mar 14, 2024 Apr 01, 2024 $0.0500 0.0756%
3 Feb 08, 2024 Feb 08, 2024 Feb 26, 2024 $0.0500 0.0759%
4 Sep 28, 2023 Nov 09, 2023 Nov 27, 2023 $0.0500 0.0950%
5 Jul 14, 2023 Aug 03, 2023 Aug 25, 2023 $0.0400 0.0830%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Howmet Aerospace Inc is HWM and it is traded on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock?
Howmet Aerospace Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock?
Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock.

What's the current price of Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock?
As of the end of day on the May 17, 2024, the price of an Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) share was $82.93.

What is the 52-week high and low for Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock?
The 52-week high for Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock is $83.17 and the 52-week low is $42.18.

What is the market capitalization of Howmet Aerospace Inc Stock?
As of the May 17, 2024, the market capitalization of Howmet Aerospace Inc is 33.687B.

When is the next earnings date for Howmet Aerospace Inc?
The upcoming earnings date for Howmet Aerospace Inc is Aug 06, 2024.
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About Howmet Aerospace Inc

Howmet Aerospace Howmet Aerospace Inc. provides advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries in the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, China, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The Engine Products segment offers airfoils and seamless rolled rings primarily for aircraft engines an... HWM Profile

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