Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF price fell by -0.249% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from £156.88 to £156.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.249% from a day low at £156.17 to a day high of £156.56. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.37% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 123 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 123 shares were bought and sold for approximately £19.25 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -3.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £147.69 and £153.36 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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IBGM.L Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 10, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.95%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £156.99 and £157.89. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF
Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf finds support from accumulated volume at £156.43 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved £0.388 between high and low, or 0.249%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.178%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £149.22 (-4.64%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IBGM.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf to open at £156.41, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £155.84 and £157.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.651 (+/-0.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £156.43 (0.04%) than the resistance at £160.57 (2.61%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf ETF A Buy?
Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Ishares € Govt Bond 7-10yr Ucits Etf of Monday, July 1, 2024
| Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £156.41 ( 0.0537%) | £156.49 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBGM.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 156.79 | 0.194% |
| R2 | 156.65 | 0.0996% |
| R1 | 156.55 | 0.0411% |
| Price | 156.49 | |
| S1 | 156.26 | -0.148% |
| S2 | 156.17 | -0.207% |
| S3 | 156.02 | -0.302% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 161.63 | 3.28% |
| R2 | 161.49 | 3.20% |
| R1 | 160.57 | 2.61% |
| Price | 156.49 | |
| S1 | 156.43 | -0.0383% |
| S2 | 155.76 | -0.464% |
| S3 | 155.02 | -0.94% |
IBGM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | £2.16 | 1.38% |
| 2 | Nov 16, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | Nov 29, 2023 | £1.99 | 1.25% |
| 3 | May 19, 2023 | May 19, 2023 | May 30, 2023 | £1.30 | 0.82% |
| 4 | Nov 17, 2022 | Nov 17, 2022 | Nov 30, 2022 | £0.211 | 0.129% |
| 5 | Nov 12, 2020 | Nov 12, 2020 | Nov 25, 2020 | £0.0263 | 0.0127% |
FAQ
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