Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 08, 2025 Gain 7.31%

The Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF price fell by -2.21% on the last day (Friday, 23rd May 2025) from $63.23 to $61.83. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.91% from a day low at $61.43 to a day high of $62.61. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 million shares and in total, 61 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.76 billion.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $63.43 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 25.27% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $62.74 and $79.46 at the end of this 3-month period.

IBIT Signals & Forecast

The Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $60.80 and $53.78. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, May 22, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.21%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF

Ishares Bitcoin Trust finds support from accumulated volume at $61.79 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.18 between high and low, or 1.91%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.70%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $59.18 (-4.28%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (IBIT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 27th we expect Ishares Bitcoin Trust to open at $61.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $60.05 and $63.61, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.78 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Ishares Bitcoin Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.76% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $61.79 (0.06%) than the resistance at $63.23 (2.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.159 Buy Candidate Upgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 27, 2025 - $61.96 ( 0.202%).