International Business Machines Stock Forecast
Evaluation of International Business Machines stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 09, 2024)
The International Business Machines stock price fell by -2.14% on the last day (Thursday, 9th May 2024) from $169.90 to $166.27. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.01% from a day low at $165.88 to a day high of $167.55. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.56% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 864 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $708.25 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $162.36 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -9.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $146.63 and $166.59 at the end of this 3-month period.
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IBM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, May 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.19%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The International Business Machines stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $166.84 and $180.53. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for International Business Machines stock
International Business Machines finds support from accumulated volume at $166.20 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.67 between high and low, or 1.01%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.12%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IBM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 10th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 10th we expect International Business Machines Corporation to open at $166.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $162.82 and $169.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.45 (+/-2.07%) up or down from last closing price. If International Business Machines Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.15% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $166.20 (0.04%) than the resistance at $167.13 (0.52%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is International Business Machines Corporation stock A Buy?
International Business Machines holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.307 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for International Business Machines Corporation of Friday, May 10, 2024
| Fair opening price May 10, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $166.57 ( 0.178%) | $166.27 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 168.24 | 1.18 % | |
| R2 | 167.60 | 0.799 % | ||
| R1 | 167.20 | 0.562 % | ||
| Current price: | 166.27 | |||
| Support | S1 | 165.93 | -0.205 % | |
| S2 | 165.53 | -0.442 % | ||
| S3 | 164.90 | -0.83 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 193.06 | 16.11 % | |
| R2 | 168.91 | 1.59 % | ||
| R1 | 167.13 | 0.517 % | ||
| Current price | 166.27 | |||
| Support | S1 | 166.20 | -0.0421% | |
| S2 | 164.69 | -0.95% | ||
| S3 | 164.31 | -1.18% |
IBM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 09, 2024 | May 09, 2024 | Jun 10, 2024 | $1.67 | 1.00% |
| 2 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 09, 2024 | Mar 09, 2024 | $1.66 | 0.85% |
| 3 | Jan 30, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | Mar 09, 2024 | $1.66 | 0.85% |
| 4 | Oct 30, 2023 | Nov 09, 2023 | Dec 09, 2023 | $1.66 | 1.02% |
| 5 | Jul 24, 2023 | Aug 09, 2023 | Sep 09, 2023 | $1.66 | 1.12% |
FAQ
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