- Beat earnings estimates in all of the last 4 quarters
- Dividend Aristocrat — decades of consistent dividend growth
- Strong return on equity of 35.5%
Stronger technical forecast for International Business Machines stock price after Monday trading
(Updated on Jun 29, 2026)
The International Business Machines stock price gained 2.35% on the last trading day (Monday, 29th Jun 2026), rising from $271.63 to $278.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.37% from a day low at $269.06 to a day high of $278.14. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.12% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.78 billion.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 14.95% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $272.32 and $393.32 at the end of this 3-month period.
IBM Signals & Forecast
The International Business Machines stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $262.45 and $260.81. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 02, 2026, and so far it has fallen -15.56%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for International Business Machines stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $253.84 and $252.97. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, International Business Machines finds support just below today's level at $253.84. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $252.97 and $231.08.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $9.08 between high and low, or 3.37%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.47%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $265.04 (-4.66%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IBM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 30th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 30th we expect International Business Machines Corporation to open at $275.07, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $271.86 and $284.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.29 (+/-4.52%) up or down from last closing price. If International Business Machines Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $297.80 (7.12%) than the support at $253.84 (8.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is International Business Machines Corporation stock A Buy?
International Business Machines holds several positive signals and is within a strong rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Strong Buy candidate.
Current score:
5.171
Strong Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 30, 2026 - $275.07 ( 1.06%).
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IBM Performance
Trading levels for IBM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 284.15 | 2.21% |
| R2 | 280.68 | 0.96% |
| R1 | 278.54 | 0.193% |
| Price | 278.00 | |
| S1 | 271.60 | -2.30% |
| S2 | 269.46 | -3.07% |
| S3 | 265.99 | -4.32% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 329.23 | 18.43% |
| R2 | 320.42 | 15.26% |
| R1 | 297.80 | 7.12% |
| Price | 278.00 | |
| S1 | 253.84 | -8.69% |
| S2 | 252.97 | -9.00% |
| S3 | 231.08 | -16.88% |
IBM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 08, 2026 | May 08, 2026 | Jun 10, 2026 | $1.69 | 0.731% |
| 2 | Feb 10, 2026 | Feb 10, 2026 | Mar 10, 2026 | $1.68 | 0.543% |
| 3 | Nov 10, 2025 | Nov 10, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | $1.68 | 0.546% |
| 4 | Aug 08, 2025 | Aug 08, 2025 | Sep 10, 2025 | $1.68 | 0.647% |
| 5 | May 09, 2025 | May 09, 2025 | Jun 10, 2025 | $1.68 | 0.629% |
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