SAP SE Stock Forecast
Red day on Tuesday for SAP SE
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The SAP SE stock price fell by -0.421% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from $199.42 to $198.58. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.90% from a day low at $197.55 to a day high of $199.33. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.5% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -104 thousand shares and in total, 595 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $118.25 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.33% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $196.19 and $214.88 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SAP Signals & Forecast
The SAP SE stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $198.07 and $192.11. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.55%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SAP SE stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $188.01 and $185.09. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, SAP SE finds support just below today's level at $188.01. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $185.09 and $180.25.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.78 between high and low, or 0.90%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.17%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $190.99 (-3.82%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SAP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect SAP SE to open at $198.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $195.12 and $202.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.46 (+/-1.74%) up or down from last closing price. If SAP SE takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $198.59 (0.01%) than the support at $188.01 (5.32%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is SAP SE stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for SAP SE stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.502 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SAP SE of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $198.49 ( 0.0475%) | $198.58 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SAP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 200.27 | 0.85% |
| R2 | 199.59 | 0.507% |
| R1 | 199.17 | 0.295% |
| Price | 198.58 | |
| S1 | 197.80 | -0.391% |
| S2 | 197.38 | -0.602% |
| S3 | 196.70 | -0.95% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 201.71 | 1.58% |
| R2 | 200.75 | 1.09% |
| R1 | 198.59 | 0.0050% |
| Price | 198.58 | |
| S1 | 188.01 | -5.32% |
| S2 | 185.09 | -6.79% |
| S3 | 180.25 | -9.23% |
SAP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 10, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | May 28, 2024 | $2.59 | 1.34% |
| 2 | Aug 06, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | $2.19 | 1.64% |
| 3 | Apr 14, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | May 22, 2023 | $2.66 | 2.00% |
| 4 | Apr 12, 2021 | May 13, 2021 | May 25, 2021 | $2.19 | 1.55% |
| 5 | Feb 26, 2020 | May 21, 2020 | Jun 02, 2020 | $1.71 | 1.31% |
FAQ
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