Independent Bank Group Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Wednesday for Independent Bank Group
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Independent Bank Group stock price gained 1.07% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $37.24 to $37.64. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.59% from a day low at $36.47 to a day high of $38.51. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -4.83% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 167 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 331 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.45 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $37.14 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $32.47 and $37.89 at the end of this 3-month period.
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IBTX Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.07%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Independent Bank Group stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $39.02 and $41.86. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Independent Bank Group stock
Independent Bank Group finds support from accumulated volume at $37.24 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.04 between high and low, or 5.59%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IBTX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Independent Bank Group to open at $37.54, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $36.01 and $39.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.63 (+/-4.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Independent Bank Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $37.24 (1.06%) than the resistance at $40.55 (7.73%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Independent Bank Group stock A Buy?
Independent Bank Group holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.672 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Independent Bank Group of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $37.54 ( 0.266%) | $37.64 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IBTX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 39.58 | 5.15 % | |
| R2 | 38.80 | 3.08 % | ||
| R1 | 38.32 | 1.80 % | ||
| Current price: | 37.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 36.76 | -2.34 % | |
| S2 | 36.28 | -3.62 % | ||
| S3 | 35.50 | -5.69 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 45.22 | 20.14 % | |
| R2 | 44.34 | 17.80 % | ||
| R1 | 40.55 | 7.73 % | ||
| Current price | 37.64 | |||
| Support | S1 | 37.24 | -1.06% | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
IBTX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 22, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | $0.380 | 1.01% |
| 2 | Jan 18, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | $0.380 | 0.81% |
| 3 | Oct 19, 2023 | Nov 01, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.99% |
| 4 | Jul 20, 2023 | Aug 02, 2023 | Aug 17, 2023 | $0.380 | 0.89% |
| 5 | Apr 20, 2023 | May 03, 2023 | May 18, 2023 | $0.380 | 1.11% |
FAQ
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